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News and insights

Is There A Breaking Point For Russia? Looking Back At the Cold War and Ahead Towards 2025

How do we know and when will we know if a change will be expected in Russia towards a policy other than Putin's current one? In retrospect, there are, arguably, essential lessons to be learned from the Cold War that should be considered when assessing the way ahead for Russia. These lessons motivate caution when interpreting current and future Russian policy indicators. Still, Putin would be wise to anticipate major problems ahead for himself and his regime.

Looming Disaster Over Gaza – One Week Before Ramadan

The arrival of the holy Muslim month of Ramadan this year carries with it much wider implications, well beyond the Muslim world, than usual. This is because of the way the Gaza disaster now enters a decisive phase and the way Ramadan as from March 10 is universally regarded as pivotal; embattled Israeli PM Netanyahu has declared that unless international diplomacy (US, Israel, Qatar, Egypt) has landed before that date an agreement on release of hostages, a ceasefire (of sorts) and the launch of a massive humanitarian relief operation has been arrived at, then Israeli IDF will, in accordance with its stated war aims to eliminate Hamas, launch a ground operation into the Rafah area in southernmost Gaza where at least a million Palestinian evacuees from the north have added to the already crowded Rafah area population.

Russian Military Losses, Milestones and What History Can Teach Us about their Impacts on Regime Stability

Today, we have reached a significant milestone in the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, with Russian casualties—according to Ukrainian official statistics from the General Staff of the Armed Forces—reportedly surpassing 400,000, an additional 1,210 casualties bringing the total to 400,300. This figure, while rough, prompts a deeper examination of Russia's capacity for sustaining such losses and the broader implications for regime stability within the country.

Featured article

Will Strategic Stability Between the West and Russia Require Arms Control?

Arguably, there is a need to connect the dots between four somewhat separate discourses: military rearmament in Russia, conditions for peace in Ukraine, rebuilding defense in the West and prospects for future arms control.

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